« Return to Arms Control and The Kids

Arms control and nonpro are boring

OK, that headline is an exaggeration, but let's face it: arms control ain't exactly a happening field. Sure, the US and Russia have revived arms control talks, but this issue, red hot during the Cold War, now competes with a raft of other issues that capture a far greater share of the next generation's attention span: climate change, China's rise, the ever-smoldering Middle East, the two wars the U.S. is currently fighting, the HIV/AIDS epidemic in Africa, Darfur, and so on.

I would even argue that as fields of scholarly and policy inquiry go, arms control and nonproliferation are rather mature. We more or less already know what the nonproliferation playbook is for dealing with proliferation issues and arms control: engagement, containment, deterrence, and so forth. The specific details vary by region - North Korea in East Asia; Iran in the Middle East; nth country in its unique geopolitical and regional context. The regional dimension is where the real action is, and where the main opportunities for innovation and creativity lie, not in arms control and nonpro per se.

In addition to the fields' maturity, I would also describe them as conservative (in the apolitical sense). The leading voices in the field today have been at it for 15-20 years or more, and have largely fought the same battles over and over again, particularly with respect to arms control. The left is dominated primarily by nuclear abolitionists who cut their teeth back in the 1980s, while the right is dominated by post-arms control/anti-treaty Jesse Helms proteges. This community has been fighting the same theological battles since the Reagan administration. Witness the results of the Strategic Posture Commission.

Simply put, this is not an exciting field - and I say this as someone who works these issues. Sure, there are occasional crises, but at this point its more akin to routine maintenance than inventing new technologies.


About This Blog

Search This Blog

Center Analysis

Advancing Obama's Goal to Secure Nuclear Materials In Four Years
In April 2009, President Obama ambitiously vowed to secure all loose nuclear materials around the world in four years. Significant progress has been made since his Prague speech, but greater international financial and political support will be required t...

Obama: Additional Sanctions on North Korea
...

Jimmy Carter to the Rescue... Again
Former President Jimmy Carter is in North Korea to secure the release of an American missionary sentenced to eight years of hard labor for illegal entry. The trip comes amid a North Korean nuclear impasse and heightened tensions on the Korean peninsula. W...

Is a “Region by Region” Approach Really Effective in Preventing the Spread of Sensitive Nuclear Tec
Following an August 3 report in the Wall Street Journal, the arms control blogosphere has been buzzing about a nearly finalized nuclear cooperation agreement between the United States and Vietnam. According to the Journal, and now other outlets includin...

Current Status of Iran's Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Programs
There is no hard consensus as to exactly how close Iran is to acquiring a nuclear weapon, fitting a nuclear warhead on a ballistic missile, and/or developing a ballistic missile capable of reaching most of Europe and the United States. In this updated fac...